UC
UNISYS CORP (UIS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $460.2M, down 7.4% YoY and below Wall Street consensus ($493.7M*) as license & support (L&S) renewals slipped into early Q4; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.08), below consensus $0.01* .
- Gross margin fell to 25.5% (–370 bps YoY) largely on L&S timing; adjusted EBITDA was $48.2M with a 10.5% margin (vs. 15.5% in Q3 2024) .
- Guidance cut: FY25 constant-currency revenue growth lowered from (1)%–+1% to (4)%–(3)%; non-GAAP operating margin reiterated at 8%–9% (L&S assumption ~$430M) .
- A non-cash pension annuity settlement produced a $227.7M GAAP settlement loss (net of tax); management emphasized continued liquidity strength and expects ~$110M pre-pension free cash flow for FY25 .
Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- L&S remained a “cash generation engine” with strong retention and consumption; company raised out-year L&S outlook to ~$400M average annual for 2026–2028 (“strong client retention and consumption”) .
- Ex-L&S gross margin improved 70 bps YoY to 18.6%, reflecting operational efficiency and workforce optimization gains .
- TCV grew 15% YoY to $415M in Q3, driven by renewals; backlog held at $2.83B (vs. $2.80B in Q3 2024) .
Selected quote: “We are seeing momentum in our newer AI solutions… expect to support continued successful expansion of our Ex-L&S gross margin.” — CEO Michael Thomson .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line missed consensus and declined YoY; ECS gross margin fell sharply (46.2%, –1,200 bps YoY) due to L&S renewal timing; total gross margin down 370 bps YoY .
- CFO cited elongated public-sector decision cycles and PC cycle weakness; DWS and CA&I revenues declined YoY (–4.3% and –4.8% respectively) .
- Pricing pressure intensified on renewals with competitors undercutting; management is prioritizing profitability over low-margin contracts .
Financial Results
Key metrics vs prior periods and estimates
Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (Revenue and Gross Profit %)
KPIs and cash flow
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy: “We’re building momentum in our AI-led solutions with technology-first delivery models… making us more competitive… supporting our margins.” — CEO Michael Thomson .
- L&S strength: “We are on track to meet our increased L&S expectations of $430 million… supported by strong retention and consumption.” — CEO Michael Thomson .
- Profit/FCF focus: “We remain on track to achieve our non-GAAP operating margin guidance of 8% to 9% and continue to expect more than $100 million of pre-pension… free cash flow.” — CFO Deb McCann .
- Liquidity: “Undrawn asset-backed revolver and no major debt maturity until 2031” — CFO Deb McCann .
- Public sector outlook: “The green shoots… in Q2 have really subsided… we expect that is going to continue for a couple of quarters.” — CEO Michael Thomson .
Q&A Highlights
- AI impact on P&L: AI lowers delivery costs and improves margins; some top-line pressure from sharing savings with clients; L&S consumption uplift attributed to AI-driven data/compute usage .
- Margin resilience despite revenue shortfall: Higher L&S mix and renewal scope expansion at better margin; SG&A cuts accelerated into 2025 .
- Public sector timing: U.S. shutdown concerns prolong project pauses; non-discretionary areas still active; recovery unlikely to be immediate .
- Pricing dynamics: Increased undercutting by competitors; management prioritizes profit dollars and margin over low-price renewals .
- L&S timing shift detail: ~$12M L&S renewal slipped a few days into Q4; no impact to full-year .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 revenue missed consensus by ~$33.5M ($460.2M vs $493.7M*) and non-GAAP EPS missed by ~$$0.09 ($(0.08) vs $0.01*) .
- EBITDA consensus $66.1M* vs reported adjusted EBITDA $48.2M; gross margin and ECS mix were pressured by renewal timing .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue guidance cut highlights persistent demand softness in Ex-L&S (notably U.S. public sector) and timing shifts; model FY25 revenue at (4)%–(3)% in CC and a stronger Q4 L&S contribution .
- Profitability intact: Non-GAAP operating margin 8%–9% reiterated; Q4 margin expected mid-teens on L&S concentration—focus on cash conversion and margin mix over headline growth .
- L&S durability is a central pillar: FY25 ~$430M and out-year ~$400M average (2026–2028) with 70% margins—anchor assumptions on consumption trends rather than renewal timing .
- Pension derisking is progressing: Annuitized ~$320M liabilities with non-cash GAAP settlement loss; path to remove ~$600M by end-2026 reduces future contribution volatility .
- Near-term trading lens: Watch Q4 execution on L&S signings/collections and any further public-sector project delays; management flagged potential continued headwinds for “a couple of quarters” .
- Pricing discipline: Expect occasional revenue attrition on renewals where economics are unfavorable; margin and cash flow remain management’s priority .
- Operational levers: AI-led delivery, workforce optimization, and SG&A reductions are supporting Ex-L&S margins despite macro; monitor Ex-L&S GM trajectory (+70 bps YoY in Q3) .
Additional Notes and Sources
- Q3 2025 press release and 8-K financials and guidance .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript for qualitative commentary and guidance color .
- Prior quarters for trend analysis: Q2 2025 8-K/call ; Q1 2025 8-K/call .
- Other relevant Q3 period press releases: European Commission cybersecurity award (framework coverage for 71 EU entities) .
Values marked with * are from S&P Global.